Comments about the financial markets, politics and other random thoughts of interest.

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Retracement Levels


As stocks and indexes dropped they fell through what are called retracement levels. These levels take a move from a low to a high and then determine the normal pullback levels. These levels are 38.2%, 50% and 61.80% and the dreaded 100% pullback.

The two retracement periods we are watching are the November low to the January high. Also, I believe that the longer term October 2002 to October 2007 high. Tje November to January period see the Dow Jones and S&P 500 having broken all retracments. The S&P 500 needs to gete back above 741.02 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 7392.41. A plus is the NASDAQ Composite and S&P 400 are above their 100% retracement levels.

The longer term retracement level on the S&P 500 is 768.63. The Dow Jones Industrial Average 100% retracment is 7181.47. The longer term retracments have not been taken out on the NASDAQ Composite or S&P 400. These levels are 1108.49 and 370.83.

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